An anonomous comrade who has lived in The Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES) for a number of years, gives us their analysis of the balance of power with Turkey under a second Trump presidency. We Hope it provides a useful overview or starting point for research for those who are worried that Trump will green light a fourth round of Turkish invasion in AANES. - Organise
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Quick post election analysis, in case anyone is a bit worried:
Last time Erdoğan managed to get a temporary withdrawal of US troops by threatening Trump financially, but he couldn't get it to last more than a few months because other parts of the administration objected. Probably he has the same amount of power and can do the same again, but he won't want to do this until the situation is good for an invasion.
This situation would mean:
Now the çeta are divided and depleted and a lot of them have died in Turkish wars in other parts of the world. And the friends have built an impressive network of fortifications, many of which will require high quality troops to clear. This means moving more slowly, taking more Turkish casualties, and generally paying a higher price for ground taken.
Military victory for us will be hard with Turkish dominance of the air, but holding them off with minimal ground lost until a diplomatic solution is found is possible. Especially since Russia is always looking to expand their local influence and are currently cross about Turkish support for Ukraine
So bad things, but not yet, and not like last time
At 1 PM on August 2, 2024, a fairly large, angry crowd in black uniforms belonging to an ultraconservative organization known as the Old Dominican Order (Antigua Orden Dominicana, AOD) marched in the capital of the Dominican Republic. Having instigated outrage by claiming that Haitian immigrants are "occupying" the country's schools (despite official numbers stating […]
It is difficult to get a full view of a monster from up close. The connection between the claws and teeth and hooves and tail are obscured by the sheer immensity of the thing. All we can observe are the discrete violences waged by the various pieces that make up the monster. But the monster is so much more than a series of discreet phenomena.
The Valencian regional government, led by the right-wing president Carlos Mazón, failed to provide an effective or prompt response.
The reason why I think trade-union representation should do these things is because basically a union is a political organization, and in truth and in fact Africans and other Black people in these times cannot afford the luxury of any special organization for any special purpose.
When I first started my journey as an anarchist, I was incredibly privileged in both my environment and upbringing. I had grown up in a very upper-middle class suburb, neither knowing economic struggle nor of want when it came to my basic needs. I was, at that point in my life, a young 20 year […]
On Wednesday 23 October, as President Recep Tayyip Erdogan landed in Russia to attend the BRICS summit, there was a deadly attack on the Turkish aerospace and a defence company TUSAS facility near Ankara by two militants from The Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK).[1] This would result in a return to the brutal barrage the Turkish […]
